NSE · India · Auto Manufacturers

Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJ-AUTO.NS

Price ₹10,350Mkt cap 2,84,422 croreReports in INRData 2 Nov 2026

Value estimate · 50% DCF, 50% peers₹7,390-28.6%-28.6% vs ₹10,350

DCF (base)₹4,662-55.0% vs price · WACC 13.5%

Peers₹10,1204 peers · median EV/EBITDA 15.0x

Price implies–revenue growth a year; your case 14.6%

Chance worth more0%of 2,000 simulated outcomes

Scenario

drives the result

Scenario probabilities (%)

BearBaseBull

Use the probability-weighted DCF instead of the live scenario

Forecast drivers

Base case, %

Driver	FY27E	FY28E	FY29E	FY30E	FY31E
Revenue growthFY23–FY26 avg 19.6%
EBIT marginFY23–FY26 avg 19.4%
Tax rateFY23–FY26 avg 24.6%
D&A % of revenueFY23–FY26 avg 0.9%
Capex % of revenueFY23–FY26 avg 1.9%
Working capital % of revenue changeFY23–FY26 avg 63.7%

Consensus revenue growth (37 analysts): 19.1% this fiscal year, 19.9% next (Yahoo Finance). The base case fades to 7.0% by year five; bear and bull sit 3 points of growth and 1.5 points of margin either side.

Discount rate

WACC build

INR 10-year government bond yield (%)India 10-year government bond, 21 Oct 2026 (World Government Bonds; Trading Economics 7.44%)

Less: country default spread (%)Damodaran; the Indian bond yield carries some default risk

Beta2 years, weekly vs Nifty 50: 1.20 (R² 0.39)

Equity risk premium (%)Damodaran, July 2026 update

Pre-tax cost of debt (%)starter: bond yield + 1.5 points

Terminal growth g (%)must stay below WACC

Risk-free rate: 5.69%
Cost of equity: 13.99%
Weight of equity: 92.6%
After-tax cost of debt: 6.71%
WACC: 13.45%

Result rules

set before you look

DCF weight (%)peers get 50%

Share price (INR)Yahoo, 30 Oct 2026 (delayed)

In plain English

The model's numbers as sentences. Every figure comes from the live data and your inputs, so the story changes when you change an input.

No growth rate in the model's range matches the price

Context
No constant revenue growth between −60% and +100% a year makes your base case match today's price of ₹10,350, so check the margins and the cash and debt in the bridge.
Caution
Your base case assumes 14.6% revenue growth a year on average and values the shares at ₹4,662, 55% below today's price.
Caution
If your base case comes true, the whole business would return about 9.2% a year at today's price, 4.2 percentage points less than the 13.5% a year the model requires (the WACC).
Caution
About 82% of today's price pays for future growth. The other 18%, ₹1,833 a share, is what FY26 operating profit after tax is worth if it never grows.
Caution
Across 2,000 simulated futures around your base case, the middle 80% of values runs from ₹3,657 to ₹5,946 a share, and 0% of them are worth more than today's price.
Favourable
Business health grade B (69 out of 100): shows a mixed picture, with 5 strengths and 2 red flags (top concern: the accounts share traits with past earnings manipulators).

Educational, not investment advice. “Favourable” means the numbers lean in today's price's favour; “Caution” means the price asks a lot of the future.

Football field

Every valuation range side by side, against today's price and the value estimate. Per share, in INR.

Show as table

Range	Low	Mid	High
DCF scenarios (bear to bull)	₹3,892	₹4,662	₹5,678
DCF sensitivity (WACC and g ±1 point)	₹3,690	₹4,662	₹6,232
Monte Carlo (middle 80% of 2,000 runs)	₹3,657	₹4,678	₹5,946
EV/EBITDA comps (25th to 75th percentile)	₹7,834	₹9,512	₹13,550
P/E comps (25th to 75th percentile)	₹8,638	₹10,729	₹13,589
Analyst targets (42 analysts, low to high)	₹9,259	₹12,010	₹14,300
52-week share price (trading range)	₹8,605	–	₹12,470

Business health

Is this a good, honest business, not just a cheap one? Published screens on the reported annual accounts (FY23–FY26), plus plain ratios. Screens, not verdicts: read the accounts before relying on any of them.

GradeB69 / 100

Grade B (69/100): shows a mixed picture, with 5 strengths and 2 red flags (top concern: the accounts share traits with past earnings manipulators).

Piotroski F-score6 / 9nine tests of strength

Altman Z''4.71Safe zone · safe above 2.60

Beneish M-score−1.69Flag: above −1.78

Red flags 2

The accounts share traits with past earnings manipulators: Beneish M-score is −1.69, above the −1.78 cut-off, driven by slower depreciation and profit not backed by cash.
Profit isn't turning into cash: operations produced 41% of reported profit over 4 years.

Strengths 5

Comfortable balance sheet: Altman Z'' is 4.71, in the safe zone (above 2.60).
High return on capital: ROCE was 22.2% in FY26.
High return for shareholders: ROE was 29.0% in FY26.
Low debt: net debt is only 0.9x EBITDA in FY26.
Steady growth: revenue rose in each of the last 3 years.

Cash conversion Weak41%Operating cash flow ÷ net profit, FY23–FY26. 90% or more means profit is backed by cash.

Return on capital (ROCE) Good22.2%EBIT ÷ (total assets − current liabilities), FY26. 15% or more is strong. A lending arm's loan book inflates capital employed and pulls this down.

Return on equity Good29.0%Net profit ÷ average shareholders' equity, FY26. 15% or more is strong.

Interest cover Good11.0xEBIT ÷ interest cost, FY26. 5x or more is comfortable; below 2x is risky.

Net debt ÷ EBITDA Good0.9x(Borrowings − cash) ÷ (EBIT + D&A), FY26. 1.5x or less is comfortable; above 3.5x is heavy. Carmakers and conglomerates often carry a lending arm's debt here, which overstates the burden.

Receivable days Good21 daysReceivables ÷ revenue × 365. Up from 18 days in FY23; a rise of more than 20 days is a warning.

Share count change Good−0.7% a yearWeighted diluted shares, a year, FY23–FY26. Above 2% a year is heavy dilution; shares issued for mergers count too.

Paid out to shareholders Info75.8%Dividends and buybacks ÷ net profit, FY23–FY26. Neither high nor low is good on its own: it depends on how well the company could reinvest.

Stock-based pay Good0.1%Share-based pay ÷ revenue, FY26. Above 5% is a large hidden cost to owners.

Years of revenue growth Good3 of 3Years in which revenue beat the year before, FY23–FY26.

EBIT margin trend Good+4.2 ptsFrom 17.1% in FY23 to 21.3% in FY26.

Piotroski's tests, one by one (6 passed of 9)

PASS
Made a profit Return on assets 19.8% in FY26
A company that loses money on its assets is using up its owners' capital.
PASS
Operations brought in cash Operating cash flow ₹2,597 crore in FY26
Profit has to arrive as cash in the end, and cash flow is harder to dress up than profit.
PASS
Return on assets improved 19.8% vs FY25's 18.6%
Rising profitability is one of the clearest signs a business is getting stronger.
FAIL
Cash from operations beat profit Cash ₹2,597 crore vs profit ₹10,744 crore
When cash lags profit, earnings may rest on generous accounting or customers who pay late.
FAIL
Long-term debt fell relative to assets Long-term debt 23.3% of average assets vs FY25's 13.0%
More debt leaves less room for error when business slows.
PASS
Short-term liquidity improved Current ratio 1.76 vs FY25's 1.68
More short-term assets per rupee of bills due within a year means less risk of a cash squeeze.
PASS
No new shares issued Diluted shares 0.0% vs FY25
Issuing shares shrinks each owner's slice and can mean the company could not fund itself.
PASS
Gross margin improved Gross margin 28.8% vs FY25's 27.4%
A higher gross margin points to pricing power or falling costs.
FAIL
Assets worked harder (turnover up) Revenue ÷ assets 1.11x vs FY25's 1.25x
More sales from the same assets means the business uses its capital better.

F-score by year: FY24 6/8 · FY25 5/9

How the Altman and Beneish scores are built

Altman Z'' = 4.71 (safe)
Ratio	Value	Weight	Adds
Working capital ÷ total assets	0.191	6.56	1.25
Retained earnings ÷ total assets	0.379	3.26	1.23
Operating profit (EBIT) ÷ total assets	0.167	6.72	1.12
Book equity ÷ total liabilities	1.049	1.05	1.10

FY26 figures. Safe above 2.60, grey zone 1.10 to 2.60, distress below 1.10.

Z'' by year: FY23 9.26 · FY24 6.42 · FY25 5.62

Beneish M = -1.69 (flag)
Index	Value	Manipulators	Others
Receivables growing faster than sales (DSRI)	1.333	1.465	1.031
Gross margin slipping (GMI)	0.950	1.193	1.014
More hard-to-value assets (AQI)	0.796	1.254	1.039
Sales growth (SGI)	1.226	1.607	1.134
Depreciation slowing (DEPI)	1.353	1.077	1.001
Overheads vs sales (SGAI)	1.117	1.041	1.054
Profit not backed by cash, ÷ assets (TATA)	0.106	0.031	0.018
Leverage rising (LVGI)	1.378	1.111	1.037

FY26 against FY25. Above −1.78 the pattern resembles companies later found to have manipulated earnings; some analysts use a stricter −2.22.

How to read this

Piotroski F-score (Joseph Piotroski, 2000): nine pass-or-fail tests of profitability, debt, liquidity and efficiency, each comparing the latest year with the one before. 7 or more is strong; 3 or fewer is weak.

Altman Z'' (Edward Altman, 1995, the version for non-manufacturers and emerging markets): combines working capital, retained earnings, operating profit and book equity relative to the balance sheet. Above 2.60 is the safe zone, below 1.10 the distress zone.

Beneish M-score (Messod Beneish, 1999): eight ratios that, in his study, separated companies later found to have manipulated earnings. Above −1.78 resembles that pattern. It is a prompt to read the notes to the accounts, not an accusation.

Grade: a 0 to 100 blend (Piotroski 40%, Altman 20%, Beneish 15%, the ratios 25%, re-weighted when a part is missing): A from 80, B from 65, C from 50, D from 35, E below.

All three screens were built on US companies and annual accounts from Yahoo Finance, which can be incomplete. Lenders, insurers and holding companies get financial-firm ratios instead of the Altman and Beneish screens.

What analysts expect

Price targets and ratings from the brokers' analysts who cover the stock, as Yahoo collects them. Their opinion, not this app's; set against the model so you can see where you differ.

42 analysts' average 12-month target is ₹12,010, +16.0% against today's ₹10,350 (median ₹11,953). The range runs from ₹9,259 to ₹14,300.

Ratings this month: 32 buy, 5 hold, 5 sell; the average works out to "Buy" (1.9 on a 1 to 5 scale, 1 = strong buy).

Your value estimate of ₹7,390 is 38% below the analysts' average: a big gap is worth explaining, it usually comes down to growth or margin assumptions.

Targets are usually for 12 months ahead and tend to run optimistic; brokers that cover a company often do business with it. Counts and targets come from different updates, so they may not match exactly.

Risk and likely range

How much the shares have swung and how far they have fallen over five years. Risk repeats far more reliably than direction, so this is the honest kind of forecast: how far the price may move, not which way.

Loading five years of prices…

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: the constant revenue growth, or the constant EBIT margin, that makes the DCF equal today's price, holding everything else in your base case.

Implied revenue growth, a year–Your base case averages 14.6%. No growth rate between −60% and +100% matches the price.

Implied EBIT margin38.6%Your base case averages 21.3%; the last reported year was 21.3%.

What you'd earn at today's price

The yearly return on the whole business at today's price if your base case comes true, against the return the model requires and what a government bond pays.

Caution

If your base case comes true, today's price earns about 9.2% a year, 4.2 percentage points less than the 13.5% the model requires.

Expected returnif your base case comes true9.2%
Required return (WACC)what the model discounts at13.5%
Government bondwhat the INR 10-year government bond pays7.4%

What the price pays for

Today's business, no growth18%₹1,833 a share: earnings power value

Future growth82%₹8,517 a share

Earnings yield4.6%₹475.74 trailing EPS ÷ price

Free cash flow yield2.2%FY27E forecast ÷ market value

10-year bond7.4%interest a year

Cost of equity14.0%what shareholders require

Context

Every ₹100 of share price buys ₹4.60 of today's profit a year, less than the ₹7.44 of interest the bond pays: the price counts on profits growing.

How these are worked out

Expected return (an internal rate of return). Imagine buying the whole company at today's price: its shares and its debt, less its cash. The expected return is the yearly rate that makes the free cash flows in your base case, plus the value after FY31E growing at 5.0%, add up to exactly today's price. When it is above the WACC, the price sits below your DCF value. It only comes true if the forecast does.

Earnings power value. What the business is worth if its last reported operating profit never grows or shrinks (a simplified version of Bruce Greenwald's method). It treats depreciation as the spending needed to stand still, and uses reported rather than average profit, so one unusual year moves it.

FY26 operating profit (EBIT), ₹ crore: 12,858
After tax at 24.6%: 9,695
Held flat for ever: ÷ WACC of 13.5%: 72,057
+ Cash − debt, leases, minorities and dividends since the balance sheet: -21,681
÷ Shares, per share: ₹1,833

Earnings yield is the profit a year you buy with each unit of price (the P/E turned upside down). Free cash flow yield is the same idea with next year's forecast cash flow.

Show as table

Measure	Value
Expected return (IRR), base case	9.2%
Required return (WACC)	13.5%
Expected minus required	−4.2 pts
Cost of equity	14.0%
10-year government bond	7.4%
Earnings power value per share	₹1,833
Share of price paying for growth	82%
Earnings yield	4.6%
Free cash flow yield	2.2%

Three scenarios

Revenue path for each scenario and its value per share with the same WACC and terminal growth.

Bear · 25%₹3,892-62.4% vs price

Base · 50%₹4,662-55.0% vs price

Bull · 25%₹5,678-45.1% vs price

Probability-weighted₹4,723-54.4% vs price

ReportedBearBaseBull

Show as table

Revenue, ₹ crore	FY23	FY24	FY25	FY26	FY27E	FY28E	FY29E	FY30E	FY31E
Reported	35,392	43,782	49,267	60,386
Bear					70,109	81,957	92,284	99,943	1,03,941
Base					71,920	86,232	99,685	1,10,949	1,18,715
Bull					73,732	90,616	1,07,471	1,22,839	1,35,123

Monte Carlo

2,000 simulated futures around your base case. Each run shifts growth, margin, WACC and terminal growth at random using the spreads below (one standard deviation).

Growth spread (± pts)Margin spread (± pts)WACC spread (± pts)Terminal growth spread (± pts)

Worth more than the price0%of runs above ₹10,350

Median outcome₹4,678-54.8% vs price

Downside (10th pct)₹3,6571 run in 10 is lower

Upside (90th pct)₹5,9461 run in 10 is higher

Runs below today's priceRuns above it

Free cash flow, base case

FCF = EBIT × (1 − tax) + D&A − capex − increase in working capital, discounted at the WACC from today to each fiscal year end.

Free cash flowPresent value

₹ crore	FY27E	FY28E	FY29E	FY30E	FY31E
Revenue	71,920	86,232	99,685	1,10,949	1,18,715
EBIT	15,319	18,367	21,233	23,632	25,286
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax)	11,551	13,849	16,010	17,819	19,066
+ D&A	647	776	897	999	1,068
− Capex	1,366	1,466	1,495	1,331	1,187
− Increase in working capital	4,614	5,725	5,381	4,506	3,107
Free cash flow	6,218	7,434	10,031	12,980	15,841
Present value	5,906	6,222	7,399	8,439	9,077
Years to year end (t)	0.41	1.41	2.41	3.41	4.41

From cash flows to a share price

Enterprise value plus cash, minus debt, leases, minority interests and cash already returned to shareholders since the balance sheet, divided by the shares.

Present value of FCF: 37,042
Present value of terminal value: 1,12,741
Enterprise value: 1,49,783
+ Cash and short-term investments (31 Mar 2026): 11,094
− Borrowings: 21,981
− Lease liabilities: 659
− Minority interests: 1,388
− Dividends since the balance sheet: 8,746
Equity value: 1,28,102
÷ Shares outstanding: 27.48 crore
Value per share: ₹4,662

All amounts in ₹ crore. Dividends with ex-dates after 2026-03-31: 2026-05-29 (150.00 per share); about 4 million shares bought back since then, valued at today's price.

Terminal value share of enterprise value75.3%Above 75%: most of the value comes after the forecast years.

Sensitivity: WACC against terminal growth

DCF value per share, base case. Blue cells sit above today's price, red cells below; the outlined cell is your current pair.

g ↓ · WACC →	12.45%	12.95%	13.45%	13.95%	14.45%
4.0%	₹4,816	₹4,487	₹4,193	₹3,928	₹3,690
4.5%	₹5,104	₹4,738	₹4,414	₹4,124	₹3,864
5.0%	₹5,429	₹5,021	₹4,662	₹4,343	₹4,058
5.5%	₹5,802	₹5,342	₹4,940	₹4,586	₹4,272
6.0%	₹6,232	₹5,709	₹5,256	₹4,861	₹4,513

Peers

Found from Yahoo's related stocks in the same industry; multiples rebuilt here so currencies match. Untick a peer to drop it, or add your own.

Company	In median	EV/EBITDA	P/E	EV/Sales	P/B	Op. margin	Rev. growth
Hero MotoCorp Limited HEROMOTOCO.NS Auto Manufacturers		13.0x	17.2x	1.8x	4.4x	11.8%	22.5%
Eicher Motors Limited EICHERMOT.NS Auto Manufacturers		33.4x	34.3x	7.7x	7.9x	19.8%	31.5%
Mahindra & Mahindra Limited M&M.NS Auto Manufacturers		10.7x	18.5x	2.0x	3.4x	17.0%	27.5%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI.NS Auto Manufacturers		16.9x	26.6x	1.7x	3.3x	5.3%	26.0%
Median of included	4	15.0x	22.6x	1.9x	3.9x
Bajaj Auto Limited	–	16.2x	21.8x	3.6x	7.4x	21.3%	22.6%

Add a peer

Implied value per share	25th pct	Median	75th pct
EV/EBITDA × EBITDA + net cash	₹7,834 (12.4x)	₹9,512 (15.0x)	₹13,550 (21.0x)
P/E × earnings per share	₹8,638 (18.2x)	₹10,729 (22.6x)	₹13,589 (28.6x)
P/B × book value per share	₹4,698 (3.4x)	₹5,442 (3.9x)	₹7,350 (5.3x)
EV/Sales × revenue + net cash (check only)	₹4,743 (1.8x)	₹5,124 (1.9x)	₹9,727 (3.4x)
Peer value (average of median EV/EBITDA and median P/E prices)		₹10,120

Against its own past

Is today's multiple high or low for this stock? Its P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) or P/B (price ÷ book value per share) month by month, against the range it has traded in.

Loading ten years of monthly prices…

Pitch summary

Three pieces of evidence that lead to a view. The client summary button copies all of this as text.

1 · Margins+1 bpsEBIT margin change from the last reported year (21.3%) to FY31E (21.3%)

2 · Valuation vs peers+8.4%Bajaj Auto Limited EV/EBITDA against the peer median; negative means cheaper

3 · Cash2.2%FCF yield: FY27E free cash flow ÷ market value at today's price

Bajaj Auto Limited (BAJAJ-AUTO.NS), valuation summary, 2 Nov 2026
Value estimate ₹7,390 (-28.6% vs today's price of ₹10,350).

• DCF (base case): ₹4,662 per share. WACC 13.45%, terminal growth 5.0%; terminal value is 75% of enterprise value.
• Peers: ₹10,120 per share (average of median EV/EBITDA and median P/E prices; 4 peers).
• Scenarios: bear ₹3,892, base ₹4,662, bull ₹5,678; probability-weighted ₹4,723.
• What the price implies: outside the range tested for FY27E–FY31E, against 14.6% in this forecast.
• Monte Carlo: 0% of 2,000 simulated outcomes are above today's price; middle 80% ₹3,657 to ₹5,946.
• Key assumptions (base): revenue growth 19.1% → 19.9% → 15.6% → 11.3% → 7.0%; EBIT margin 21.3% to 21.3%; tax 24.6%.
• Checks: all pass.

Data: Yahoo Finance via yahoo-finance2 (unofficial; delayed prices), as of 2 Nov 2026. Educational model, not investment advice.

Model checks

7 pass, 0 to review.

PASSWACC is above terminal growth g
PASSThe DCF gives a positive value per share
PASSShares × price is within 2% of the reported market cap
PASSScenario values are in order: bear ≤ base ≤ bull
PASSAt least three peers are in the medians
PASSTerminal value is less than 85% of enterprise value
PASSThe forecast starts after the last reported year

Company data

What the model uses, from Yahoo Finance via yahoo-finance2 (unofficial; delayed prices). Edit any number that looks wrong; your edits stay in this browser and are marked.

₹ crore	FY23	FY24	FY25	FY26	Avg ratio
Revenue					growth 19.6%
EBIT (operating profit)					margin 19.4%
D&A					0.9%
Profit before tax
Tax					rate 24.6%
Capex					1.9%
Increase in working capital					63.7% of Δrev

Cash and short-term investments (₹ crore)
Borrowings (₹ crore)
Lease liabilities (₹ crore)
Minority interests (₹ crore)
Dividends since the balance sheet (₹ crore)

Revenue, trailing 12 months (₹ crore)
EBITDA, trailing 12 months (₹ crore)
Net income, trailing 12 months (₹ crore)
Shares outstanding (crore)

FY labels follow Indian fiscal years ending in March. Shares: 274,803,838. Price ₹10,350 at Fri, 30 Oct 2026 09:58:16 GMT.

Loading prices, five years of statements and peers…

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Driver

FY27E

FY28E

FY29E

FY30E

FY31E

Revenue growthFY23–FY26 avg 19.6%

EBIT marginFY23–FY26 avg 19.4%

Tax rateFY23–FY26 avg 24.6%

D&A % of revenueFY23–FY26 avg 0.9%

Capex % of revenueFY23–FY26 avg 1.9%

Working capital % of revenue changeFY23–FY26 avg 63.7%

Range

Low

Mid

High

DCF scenarios (bear to bull)

₹3,892

₹4,662

₹5,678

DCF sensitivity (WACC and g ±1 point)

₹3,690

₹4,662

₹6,232

Monte Carlo (middle 80% of 2,000 runs)

₹3,657

₹4,678

₹5,946

EV/EBITDA comps (25th to 75th percentile)

₹7,834

₹9,512

₹13,550

P/E comps (25th to 75th percentile)

₹8,638

₹10,729

₹13,589

Analyst targets (42 analysts, low to high)

₹9,259

₹12,010

₹14,300

52-week share price (trading range)

₹8,605

–

₹12,470

Altman Z'' = 4.71 (safe)

Ratio

Value

Weight

Adds

Working capital ÷ total assets

0.191

6.56

1.25

Retained earnings ÷ total assets

0.379

3.26

1.23

Operating profit (EBIT) ÷ total assets

0.167

6.72

1.12

Book equity ÷ total liabilities

1.049

1.05

1.10

Beneish M = -1.69 (flag)

Index

Value

Manipulators

Others

Receivables growing faster than sales (DSRI)

1.333

1.465

1.031

Gross margin slipping (GMI)

0.950

1.193

1.014

More hard-to-value assets (AQI)

0.796

1.254

1.039

Sales growth (SGI)

1.226

1.607

1.134

Depreciation slowing (DEPI)

1.353

1.077

1.001

Overheads vs sales (SGAI)

1.117

1.041

1.054

Profit not backed by cash, ÷ assets (TATA)

0.106

0.031

0.018

Leverage rising (LVGI)

1.378

1.111

1.037

Measure

Value

Expected return (IRR), base case

9.2%

Required return (WACC)

13.5%

Expected minus required

−4.2 pts

Cost of equity

14.0%

10-year government bond

7.4%

Earnings power value per share

₹1,833

Share of price paying for growth

82%

Earnings yield

4.6%

Free cash flow yield

2.2%

Revenue, ₹ crore

FY23

FY24

FY25

FY26

FY27E

FY28E

FY29E

FY30E

FY31E

Reported

35,392

43,782

49,267

60,386

Bear

70,109

81,957

92,284

99,943

1,03,941

Base

71,920

86,232

99,685

1,10,949

1,18,715

Bull

73,732

90,616

1,07,471

1,22,839

1,35,123

₹ crore

FY27E

FY28E

FY29E

FY30E

FY31E

Revenue

71,920

86,232

99,685

1,10,949

1,18,715

EBIT

15,319

18,367

21,233

23,632

25,286

NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax)

11,551

13,849

16,010

17,819

19,066

+ D&A

647

776

897

999

1,068

− Capex

1,366

1,466

1,495

1,331

1,187

− Increase in working capital

4,614

5,725

5,381

4,506

3,107

Free cash flow

6,218

7,434

10,031

12,980

15,841

Present value

5,906

6,222

7,399

8,439

9,077

Years to year end (t)

0.41

1.41

2.41

3.41

4.41

g ↓ · WACC →

12.45%

12.95%

13.45%

13.95%

14.45%

4.0%

₹4,816

₹4,487

₹4,193

₹3,928

₹3,690

4.5%

₹5,104

₹4,738

₹4,414

₹4,124

₹3,864

5.0%

₹5,429

₹5,021

₹4,662

₹4,343

₹4,058

5.5%

₹5,802

₹5,342

₹4,940

₹4,586

₹4,272

6.0%

₹6,232

₹5,709

₹5,256

₹4,861

₹4,513

Company

In median

EV/EBITDA

P/E

EV/Sales

P/B

Op. margin

Rev. growth

Hero MotoCorp Limited HEROMOTOCO.NS

Auto Manufacturers

13.0x

17.2x

1.8x

4.4x

11.8%

22.5%

Eicher Motors Limited EICHERMOT.NS

Auto Manufacturers

33.4x

34.3x

7.7x

7.9x

19.8%

31.5%

Mahindra & Mahindra Limited M&M.NS

Auto Manufacturers

10.7x

18.5x

2.0x

3.4x

17.0%

27.5%

Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI.NS

Auto Manufacturers

16.9x

26.6x

1.7x

3.3x

5.3%

26.0%

Median of included

15.0x

22.6x

1.9x

3.9x

Bajaj Auto Limited

–

16.2x

21.8x

3.6x

7.4x

21.3%

22.6%

Implied value per share

25th pct

Median

75th pct

EV/EBITDA × EBITDA + net cash

₹7,834 (12.4x)

₹9,512 (15.0x)

₹13,550 (21.0x)

P/E × earnings per share

₹8,638 (18.2x)

₹10,729 (22.6x)

₹13,589 (28.6x)

P/B × book value per share

₹4,698 (3.4x)

₹5,442 (3.9x)

₹7,350 (5.3x)

EV/Sales × revenue + net cash (check only)

₹4,743 (1.8x)

₹5,124 (1.9x)

₹9,727 (3.4x)

Peer value (average of median EV/EBITDA and median P/E prices)

₹10,120

Bajaj Auto Limited (BAJAJ-AUTO.NS), valuation summary, 2 Nov 2026 Value estimate ₹7,390 (-28.6% vs today's price of ₹10,350). • DCF (base case): ₹4,662 per share. WACC 13.45%, terminal growth 5.0%; terminal value is 75% of enterprise value. • Peers: ₹10,120 per share (average of median EV/EBITDA and median P/E prices; 4 peers). • Scenarios: bear ₹3,892, base ₹4,662, bull ₹5,678; probability-weighted ₹4,723. • What the price implies: outside the range tested for FY27E–FY31E, against 14.6% in this forecast. • Monte Carlo: 0% of 2,000 simulated outcomes are above today's price; middle 80% ₹3,657 to ₹5,946. • Key assumptions (base): revenue growth 19.1% → 19.9% → 15.6% → 11.3% → 7.0%; EBIT margin 21.3% to 21.3%; tax 24.6%. • Checks: all pass. Data: Yahoo Finance via yahoo-finance2 (unofficial; delayed prices), as of 2 Nov 2026. Educational model, not investment advice.

₹ crore

FY23

FY24

FY25

FY26

Avg ratio

Revenue

growth 19.6%

EBIT (operating profit)

margin 19.4%

D&A

0.9%

Profit before tax

Tax

rate 24.6%

Capex

1.9%

Increase in working capital

63.7% of Δrev